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2024-12-14 04:49:54

The Bank of Korea increased its liquidity to try to calm the market sentiment, and the Bank of Korea increased its capital injection into the financial market, promising to provide "unlimited liquidity" after the political turmoil intensified. According to the website of the Bank of Korea, the liquidity increased by 14.1 trillion won ($9.8 billion) through repurchase operations last week. The scale of such operations was 18.5 trillion won in November and only 1.5 trillion won in October.Goldman Sachs: I don't agree that gold can't reach $3,000 under a strong dollar. Goldman Sachs said that we don't agree with the view that the price of gold can't rise to $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 when the dollar remains strong for a long time. We predict that gold will reach $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, and the reduction of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (rather than the strengthening of the US dollar) is the downside risk of this prediction.The daily limit of the construction industry today is that CICC Fortune Beijing Jianguomenwai Street sold 455 million yuan, and the daily limit of the construction industry today was 2.004 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 22.05%. After-hours data show that the special seats of Shenzhen Stock Connect bought 40.1869 million yuan and sold 19.4816 million yuan, CICC Fortune Beijing Jianguomenwai Street sold 455 million yuan and the special seats of one institution sold 26.1536 million yuan.


Morgan Asset Management: In 2025, there are sufficient reasons to continue to over-allocate US stocks. Sylvia Sheng, global multi-asset strategist of Morgan Asset Management, said that there are sufficient reasons to continue to over-allocate US stocks and increase exposure to small and medium-sized stocks. She pointed out that although the valuation may look high, it is expected that the profit growth of S&P 500 companies will continue. Sheng wrote that it is estimated that in 2025, the contribution of the six giants in the S&P 500 index to the profit growth of the other 494 stocks will be the same, and the profit growth of these six giants is expected to slow down from 40% in 2024 to 22%. In the international market, Morgan Asset Management continues to over-allocate Japanese stocks, and its quantitative model shows that the yield of Japanese stocks is attractive and the bottom-up profitability is strong.CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.Huaxi Securities: Maintaining the "Buy" rating of this century is expected to outperform the industry. Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that the Spring Festival is the most rigid peak season for liquor demand in a year, and it is also the key node for liquor companies to complete sales and promote marketing. It is expected that the demand for business banquets, corporate annual meetings, family gatherings, gifts from relatives and friends will be stronger, and the marketing of the industry will be improved after the Spring Festival. This century (603369.SH In the short and medium term, in order to seize the window period of intensive cultivation in the province, it is relatively more important for the company to improve its market share and expand its market coverage. It is considered that under the trend of intensified competition in the industry, it is not excluded that the company can maintain its current investment and even increase its investment in a targeted manner, so it is relatively cautious to calculate the profit elasticity. At present, the industry has entered a period of slowdown and the company will be more pragmatic in setting goals. However, the company's own advantages are still accumulating and it is expected to outperform the industry relatively. Maintain the "buy" rating.


The Bank of Korea increased its liquidity to try to calm the market sentiment, and the Bank of Korea increased its capital injection into the financial market, promising to provide "unlimited liquidity" after the political turmoil intensified. According to the website of the Bank of Korea, the liquidity increased by 14.1 trillion won ($9.8 billion) through repurchase operations last week. The scale of such operations was 18.5 trillion won in November and only 1.5 trillion won in October.The second meeting of the Global Foreign Exchange Market Committee in 2024 was successfully held. From December 5 to December 6, 2024, the second meeting of the Global Foreign Exchange Committee (GFXC) in 2024 was held online. The meeting discussed the promotion and implementation of global standards, the second round of three-year review of global standards, the operation of foreign exchange market and related market hot issues. Representatives from China Foreign Exchange Market Steering Committee (CFXC) attended the meeting. This meeting discussed the final results of the second round of three-year review of global standards. The Working Group on Foreign Exchange Settlement Risk and the Working Group on Foreign Exchange Data respectively introduced the final revision suggestions of the relevant provisions of the global standards, and how the Working Group continuously improved according to the public comments and feedback from the local foreign exchange market committees and in October 2024. The revision of the Global Standards aims to strengthen the relevant principles of foreign exchange settlement risk management and enhance the transparency of specific types of foreign exchange transactions and the use of customer-generated data on electronic trading platforms. GFXC members strongly support this.After the strike ended, the delivery of Boeing aircraft dropped to 13 in November. On Tuesday, Boeing reported that it delivered 13 commercial jets in November, less than a quarter of the 56 jets delivered to customers 12 months ago. The number of deliveries in October decreased from 14 in October, when most of the company's aircraft production was still in a state of suspension, and 33,000 factory workers went on strike for seven weeks, which ended on November 5. Boeing shares closed up 4.5% on Tuesday. The aircraft manufacturer said that after weeks of methodical preparations, the company restarted the production of the 737 MAX and loaded the new fuselage into the Renton factory in Seattle.

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